Question
Which of the following best describes the seasonal
component in time series data?Solution
The seasonal component in time series refers to regular, repeating patterns that occur at specific intervals, such as daily, monthly, or yearly. It typically represents fluctuations in the data that are predictable and tied to time periods, like increased sales during the holiday season or higher electricity demand during summer months. The seasonal component is often caused by factors such as weather, holidays, and societal behaviors, and it repeats at fixed intervals. Understanding this component helps analysts make better predictions for future data points by adjusting for these known fluctuations. Option A is incorrect because the trend component refers to the long-term movement in data, not the repeating patterns at specific intervals. Option B is incorrect because residuals (or noise) are the random, unexplained fluctuations in data, not the predictable seasonal patterns. Option D is incorrect as it refers to residuals, which are the difference between observed values and those predicted by a model, and not a time series component. Option E describes irregular components (or residuals), which are caused by external, unpredictable factors and not by seasonal cycles.
рдкрд░рд┐рдзрд┐ рдХреЗ рд▓рд┐рдП рд▓рд┐рдП рд╕рд╣реА рдкрд╛рд░рд┐рднрд╛рд╖рд┐рдХ рд╢рдмреНрдж рд╣реИ
рдирд┐рдореНрдирд▓рд┐рдЦрд┐рдд рдореЗ рд╕реЗ рдХреМрди рд╕реА рднрд╛рд╖рд╛ рд╕рдВрдпреБрдХреНрдд рд░рд╛рд╖реНрдЯ рдХреА рдЖрдзрд┐рдХрд╛рд░рд┐рдХ рднрд╛я┐╜...
рд╕рдВрд╕рджреАрдп рд░рд╛рдЬрднрд╛рд╖рд╛ рд╕рдорд┐рддрд┐┬а рдХрд╛ рдЧрдарди рд╕рдВрд╡рд┐рдзрд╛рди рдХреЗ рдХрд┐рд╕ рдЕрдиреБрдЪреНрдЫреЗрдж рдХреЗ рдЕя┐╜...
рдирд┐рдореНрдирд▓рд┐рдЦрд┐рдд рд╢рдмреНрджреЛрдВ рдореЗрдВ рд╕реЗ convention рдХрд╛ рд╕рд╣реА рдкрд░реНрдпрд╛рдп рдирд╣реАрдВ рд╣реИ ?
рджрд┐рдП рдЧрдП рдЕрдВрдЧреНрд░реЗрдЬреА рд╢рдмреНрджреЛрдВ рдХреЗ рд▓рд┐рдП рдПрдХ рд╣рд┐рдиреНрджреА рдкрд░реНрдпрд╛рдп рдХрд╛ рдЪрдпрди рдХреАрдЬрд┐...
рд╕рд░рд╣рдкрд╛ рдХрд╛ рд╕рдВрдмрдВрдз рдирд┐рдореНрди рдореЗрдВ рд╕реЗ рдХрд┐рд╕рд╕реЗ рд╣реИ ?
рд╕реНрдорд░рдг рдкрддреНрд░ рдХреЗ рд▓рд┐рдП рд▓рд┐рдП рд╕рд╣реА рдкрд╛рд░рд┐рднрд╛рд╖рд┐рдХ рд╢рдмреНрдж рд╣реИ
рдЕрдирд┐рд╡рд╛рд░реНрдп рд╢рдмреНрдж рдХрд╛ рд╕рдорд╛рдирд╛рд░реНрдереА рд╢рдмреНрдж рд╣реИ тАУ
рдирд┐рдореНрдирд▓рд┐рдЦрд┐рдд рдореЗрдВ рд╕реЗ рдХреМрди рд╕реА рднрд╛рд╖рд╛ рддреНрд░рд┐рдкреБрд░рд╛ рдХреА рд░рд╛рдЬрднрд╛рд╖рд╛ рд╣реИ ?
рдЖрдард╡реАрдВ рдЕрдиреБрд╕реВрдЪреА рдореЗрдВ рдЕрдм рддрдХ рдХрд┐рддрдиреА рдмрд╛рд░ рд╕рдВрд╢реЛрдзрди рд╣реБрдЖ рд╣реИ ?